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Selected Publications

Books

Haimes, Y.Y. 2015. Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management. 4th Edition, John Wiley & Sons.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2009. Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management. 3rd Edition. John Wiley & Sons.

Chankong, V. and Y. Y. Haimes, 2008. Multiobjective Decision Making: Theory and Methodology, Dover.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2004. Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management. 2nd Edition. John Wiley & Sons.

Haimes, Y.Y., 1998. Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Horowitz, B.M., 1993. Strategic Buying for the Future: Opportunities for Innovation in Government Electronics System Acquisition. Libey Publishing, Incorporated.

Haimes, Y.Y., K. Tarvainen, T. Shima, and J. Thadathil, 1990. Hierarchical Multiobjective Analysis of Large-Scale Systems. Hemisphere Publishing Company.

Pet-Edwards, J., Y. Y. Haimes, V. Chankong, H. Rosenkranz, and F. Ennever, 1989. Risk Assessment and Decision Making Using Test Results: The Carcinogenicity Prediction and Battery Selection (CPBS) Approach. Plenum Publishing Company.

Chankong, V. and Y. Y. Haimes, 1983. Multiobjective Decision Making: Theory and Methodology, Elsevier-North Holland.

Haimes, Y.Y., 1977. Hierarchical Analyses of Water Resources Systems: Modeling and Optimization of Large-Scale Systems. McGraw-Hill International Book Company.

Haimes, Y.Y., W. A. Hall, and H. T. Freedman, 1975. Multiobjective Optimization in Water Resources Systems: The Surrogate Worth Trade-off Method. Elsevier Scientific Publishing Company.

Archival Journal Papers

2015-2013 Back to top

Haimes, Y.Y. and A. Anderegg (2014). "Sequential Pareto-optimal Decisions Made During Emergent Complex Systems of Systems: An FAA NextGen Case Study." Systems Engineering, DOI 10.1002/sys21285.

Andrijcic, E. and Y.Y. Haimes. (2014). "Intrinsic Meta-Model Coordination of Systems of Systems." In Review.

Haimes, Y.Y. and J. Bogdanor. (2014). "Risk Analysis of GPS-Dependent, Communications Critical Infrastructure Utilized by the US Electric Power Grid." In Review.

Guo, Z., Y.Y. Haimes. (2013). Risk Assessment of Complex Engineering Systems of Systems through Precursor Analysis. In Review.

Revenko, N.V., Haimes, Y.Y. (2013), "Hierarchical Statistical Methodology for Estimation of Airport Runway Incursion Rates." In Review.

Haimes, Y.Y., Andrijcic, E., Guo, Z., (2013). "Demonstrating the Predominant Contributions of Shared State Variables in Modeling Interdependent Systems through the Phantom System Models." In Review.

Haimes Y.Y. and G.M. Jacyna (2013). "Big Data, Domain Knowledge, and Modeling Complex Systems of Systems." In Review.

Werner, J.H., Y.Y. Haimes and A. Anderegg (2013). "Risk Modeling of Sequential Decisionmaking in the National Airspace System and with Unmanned Aerial Systems." Working paper.

Andrijcic, E. and Y.Y. Haimes. (2013). "Theoretical and methodological extensions of the Phantom System Models of systems of systems." Working paper.

Guo, Z. Y.Y. Haimes. (2013). Analyzing Systemic Risk in Complex Systems of Systems. Working paper.

Andrijcic, E., Haimes, Y.Y., Beatley, T. “Public Policy Implications of Harmonizing Engineering Technology With Socio-Economic Modeling: Application to Transportation Infrastructure Management,” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Vol. 50, 2013: 62-73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2013.01.027.

Hamilton, M.C., S.A. Thekdi, E.M. Jenicek, R.S. Harmon, M.E. Goodsite, M.P. Case, C.W. Karvetski, and J.H. Lambert 2013. Case studies of scenario analysis for adaptive management of natural resource and infrastructure systems. Environment Systems & Decisions. 33:89-103.

Lambert, J.H., Y.J. Wu, H. You, A. Clarens, and B. Smith 2013. Future climate change and priority setting for transportation infrastructure assets. ASCE Journal of Infrastructure Systems. 19(1):36-46.

Rogerson, E.C., J.H. Lambert, and A.F. Johns 2013. Runway safety program evaluation with uncertainties of benefits and costs. Journal of Risk Research. 16(5):523-539.

Teng, K., S.A. Thekdi, and J.H. Lambert 2013. Risk and safety program performance evaluation and business process modeling. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Part A. 42(6): 1504-1513.

Lambert, J.H., A.I. Parlak, Q. Zhou, J.S. Miller, M.D. Fontaine, T.M. Guterbock, J.L. Clements, and S.A. Thekdi 2013. Understanding and managing disaster evacuation on a transportation network. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 50(1): 645-659.

Haimes Y.Y. and G.M. Jacyna.  "Big Data, Domain Knowledge, and Modeling Complex Systems of Systems."  2015

Werner, J.H., Y.Y. Haimes and A. Anderegg.  "Risk Modeling of Sequential Decisionmaking in the National Airspace System and with Unmanned Aerial Systems."  2015

Andrijcic, E. and Y.Y. Haimes. "Theoretical and methodological extensions of the Phantom System Models of systems of systems."  2015

Haimes, Y.Y. and A. Anderegg.  "Sequential Pareto-optimal Decisions Made During Emergent Complex Systems of Systems: An FAA NextGen Case Study." Submitted to Systems Engineering

Haimes, Y.Y., Andrijcic, E., Guo, Z., and S.N. Hwang.  “Demonstrating the Predominant Contributions of Shared State Variables in Modeling Interdependent Systems through the Phantom System Models.” 2015

Jung, J., Y.Y. Haimes, and J.R. Santos.  "Structural Interdependency and Sector Prioritization Using an Inoperability Input-Output Model." 2015

Rust, E., Haimes, Y., Berg, C., and Northup, P., “Enhancing liver transplantation practices with systems engineering technology for medical and cost effectiveness.” To be submitted to the American Journal of Transplantation

Revenko, N.V., Haimes, Y.Y., “Hierarchical Statistical Methodology for Estimation of Airport Runway Incursion Rates,” To be submitted to Reliability Engineering and System Safety

Hwang, S., Y.Y. Haimes and S. Chase. "Quantifying the Interdependency between Bridge Capacity and Load" 2015

Hwang, S., Y.Y. Haimes and J.R. Santos. “Risk and Reliability Assessment of a Bridge System Using Factor of Safety and Fault Tree Analysis,” 2012, to be submitted to Risk Analysis: An International Journal.

Lambert, J.H., S.M. Wadie, A.S. Linthicum, and S.A. Thekdi. Uncertain cost estimates influencing priorities for multimodal transportation corridors. To appear in Public Works Management and Policy.

Thekdi, S.A., and J.H. Lambert 2013. Quantification of scenarios and stakeholders influencing priorities for risk mitigation in infrastructure systems". To appear in ASCE Journal of Management in Engineering.

Lambert, J.H., J. Tsang, and S. Thekdi 2013. Risk-informed investment for tropical cyclone preparedness of highway signs, signals, and lights. To appear in ASCE Journal of Infrastructure Systems.

You, H., J.H. Lambert, A.F. Clarens, and B. McFarlane 2013. Quantifying the influence of climate change to priorities for infrastructure projects. To appear in IEEE Transactions on Systems Man and Cybernetics: Part A.

Hamilton, M.C., J.H. Lambert, J.W. Keisler, I. Linkov, and F.M. Holcomb. 2013. Research and development priorities for energy security of military and industrial installations. To appear in ASCE Journal of Infrastructure Systems.

Lambert, J.H., J.M. Keisler, W.E. Wheeler, Z.A. Collier, and I Linkov 2013. Multiscale approach to the security of hardware supply chains for energy systems. Submitted to Environment Systems & Decisions.

Connelly, E., J.H. Lambert, and S.A. Thekdi 2013. Robust supply chain investments for disaster preparedness and community resilience: An application to Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Submitted to ASCE Natural Hazards Review.

Xu, J. and J.H. Lambert 2013. Distributed travel time savings of a multiscale transportation access management program. Submitted to Environment Systems & Decisions.

Xu, J., J.H. Lambert, and C.J. Tucker 2013. Access management program evaluation with multicriteria analysis and uncertain parameters. Submitted to ASCE Journal of Transportation Engineering.

Hamilton, M.C. and J.H. Lambert 2013. Deep uncertainties influencing lifecycle cost analysis for microgrids and related energy investments. Submitted to Risk Analysis.

Thekdi, S.A. and J.H. Lambert 2013. Risk management of real estate development and transportation infrastructure. Submitted to ASCE Journal of Urban Planning and Development.

Martinez, L.J., S.A. Thekdi, and J.H. Lambert 2013. Multi-scale framework for negotiating energy facility regulatory compliance with application to liquefied natural gas terminals. Submitted to Environment Systems & Decisions.

Connelly, E., J.H. Lambert, and S.A. Thekdi 2013. Robust supply chain investments for disaster preparedness and community resilience: An application to Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Submitted to ASCE Natural Hazards Review.

Hamilton, M.C. and J.H. Lambert 2013. Deep uncertainties influencing lifecycle cost analysis for microgrids and related energy investments. Submitted to Risk Analysis.
Thekdi, S.A. and J.H. Lambert 2013. Risk management of real estate development and transportation infrastructure. Submitted to ASCE Journal of Urban Planning and Development.

2012 Back to top

Haimes, Y.Y. "Strategic Preparedness for Recovery from Catastrophic Risks to Communities and Infrastructure Systems of Systems." Risk Analysis, 2012; 32(11): 1834-1845.

Haimes, Y.Y. “Modeling complex systems of systems with Phantom System Models.” Journal of Systems Engineering, 15(3) 2012: 333-346. Article first published online: 16 MAY 2012, DOI: 10.1002/sys.21205.

Haimes, Y.Y. "A System-Based Approach to Preparedness for, Response to, and Recovery from Natural and Man-Made Disasters." Leadership and Management in Engineering, December 2012; 12(4): 288-298.

Haimes, Y.Y., “Systems-Based Guiding Principles for Risk Modeling, Planning, Assessment, Management, and Communication.” Risk Analysis, 2012; 32(9): 1451-1467.

Chittister, C.G. and Y.Y. Haimes., “Risk to Cyberinfrastructure Systems served by Cloud Computing Technology as Systems of Systems.” Journal of Systems Engineering, 15(2) 2012.

Martinez, L.J., and J.H. Lambert 2012. Risk-benefit-cost prioritization of independent protection layers for a liquefied natural gas terminal. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures. 8(4): 306-325.
Zhou, Q., J.H. Lambert, C.W. Karvetski, J.M. Keisler, and I. Linkov 2012. Flood protection diversification to reduce probabilities of extreme losses. Risk Analysis. 32(11): 1873-1887.

Karvetski, C.W., and J.H. Lambert 2012. Evaluating deep uncertainties in strategic priority-setting with an application to facility energy investments. Systems Engineering.  15(4): 483-493.

Thekdi, S.A. and J.H. Lambert 2012. Decision analysis and risk models for land development affecting infrastructure systems. Risk Analysis. 32(7): 1253-1269.

Rogerson, E.C. and J.H. Lambert 2012. Prioritizing risk via several expert perspectives with application to airport runway safety. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 103: 22–34.

Parlak, A., J.H. Lambert, T. Guterbock, and J. Clements 2012. Population behavioral scenarios influencing radiological disaster preparedness and planning. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 48: 353– 362.

Teng, K., S.A. Thekdi, and J.H. Lambert 2012. Identification and evaluation of priorities in the business process of a risk or safety organization. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 99: 74–86.

Lambert, J.H., C.W. Karvetski, D.K. Spencer, B.J Sotirin, D.M. Liberi, H.H. Zaghloul, J.B. Koogler, S.L. Hunter, W.D. Goran, R.D. Ditmer, and I. Linkov 2012. Prioritizing infrastructure investments in Afghanistan with multiagency stakeholders and deep uncertainty of emergent conditions. ASCE Journal of Infrastructure Systems. 18(2): 155-166.

Meyer, T.S., Muething, J.Z., Lima, G.A.S., Torres, B.R.R., del Rosario, T.K., Gomes, J.O., Lambert, J.H. 2012. Radiological emergency response for community agencies with cognitive task analysis, risk analysis, and decision support framework Work: A Journal of Prevention, Assessment and Rehabilitation 41:2925-2932.

2011 Back to top

Haimes, Y.Y., "On the Universality and Contributions of Multiple Criteria Decision Making: A Systems-Based Approach." Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 18(1-2): 91-99, 2011. Article published online at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/mcda.478/full

Haimes, Y.Y., "Phantom System Models and the Art and Science of Modeling Systems of Systems." To appear in Systems Engineering, 15(2), 2012.

Haimes, Y.Y., "On the Complex Quantification of Risk: Systems-Based Guiding Principles for Risk Analysis and Premises on Terrorism Analysis." Risk Analysis and International Journal, 31(8): 1175-1186, 2011.

Chittister, C.G. and Y.Y. Haimes "Risk to Cyberinfrastructure Systems Served by Cloud Computing Technology as Systems of Systems." To appear in the Journal of Systems Engineering.

Hwang, S., Y.Y. Haimes and J.R. Santos "Risk and Reliability Assessment of a Bridge System Using Factor of Safety and Fault Tree Analysis" To appear in Risk Analysis an International Journal

Agrawal, A., Haimes, Y.Y., and K. Barker "Adaptive Multiplayer Approach For Risk-Based Decisionmaking: 2006 Virginia Gubernatorial Inauguration." Systems Engineering, 14(4): 455-470, 2011. Article published online at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sys.20189/full

Chittister, C.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, "The Role of Modeling in the Resilience of Cyberinfrastructure Systems and Preparedness for Cyber Intrusions." Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 8(1), 2011: 1-19. Available at: http://www.bepress.com/jhsem/vol8/iss1/6

Yan, Z. and Y.Y. Haimes, "Risk-based Multiobjective Resource Allocation with Multiple Decisionmakers in Risk Management of Large-scale Hierarchical Systems, part I: Theory and Methodology." Systems Engineering, 14(1), 2011: 1-16. Available online: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/fulltext/123270626/PDFSTART

Yan, Z. and Y.Y. Haimes, "Risk-based Multiobjective Resource Allocation with Multiple Decisionmakers in Risk Management of Large-scale Hierarchical Systems, part II: a Case Study. Available online: Systems Engineering, 14(1), 2011: 17-28. Available online at http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/fulltext/123270625/PDFSTART

Bayuk, J.L. and B.M. Horowitz, An Architectural Systems Engineering Methodology for Addressing Cyber Security. Systems Engineering, 2011. 14(3)

Haimes, Y. Y., "Response to Terje Aven", Risk Analysis an International Journal, 31(5), 2011, p 698.

Haimes, Y. Y., "Responses to Terje Aven's Paper: On some Recent Definitions and Analysis Frameworks for Risk, Vulnerability and Resilience", Risk Analysis an International Journal, 31(5), 2011, pp 689-692.

Chittister, C.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, "Harmonizing the Accreditation and Certification of Systems Engineers". Systems Engineering, 14(3), 2011: 341-348. Article published online: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sys.20176/full

Karvetski, C.W., J.H. Lambert, J.M. Keisler, B. Sexauer, and I. Linkov. 2011. Climate change scenarios: risk and impact analysis for Alaska coastal infrastructure. Int. J. Risk Assessment and Management, 15(2/3): 258-274.

Martinez, L.J., J.H. Lambert, and C. Karvetski 2011. Scenario-informed multiple criteria analysis for prioritizing investments in electricity capacity expansion. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 96: 883-891.

Joshi, N.N. and J.H. Lambert 2011. Diversification of engineering infrastructure investments for emergent and unknown non-systematic risks. Journal of Risk Research. 14(4): 1466-4461,

Karvetski, C.W., J.H. Lambert, J.M. Keisler, and I. Linkov 2011. Integration of decision analysis and scenario planning for coastal engineering and climate change. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part A. 41(1): 63-73.

Karvetski, C.W., J.H. Lambert, and I. Linkov 2011. Scenario and multiple criteria decision analysis for energy and environmental security of military and industrial installations. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management. 7(2):228-236.

Martinez, L.J., N.N. Joshi, and J.H. Lambert 2011. Diagramming qualitative goals for multiobjective project selection in large-scale systems. Systems Engineering. 14(1):73-86.

Schroeder, M.J. and J.H. Lambert 2011. Scenario-based multiple criteria analysis for infrastructure policy impacts and planning. Journal of Risk Research. 14(2): 191-214.

2010 Back to top

Martinez, L.J. and J.H. Lambert 2010. Prioritising sources of risk at liquefied natural gas storage terminals in Mexico." International Journal of Business Continuity and Risk Management. 1(4): 363-383.

Linthicum, A.S. and J.H. Lambert 2010. Risk management for infrastructure corridors vulnerable to adjacent land development. Journal of Risk Research. 13(8): 983 - 1006.

Martinez, L.J., J.H. Lambert, and C.W. Karvetski 2010. Public perception of the risks of liquefied natural gas terminals in Mexico: A prioritisation of communication strategies. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures. 6(4): 327-346.

Yan, Z. and Y.Y. Haimes, "Cross-classified Hierarchical Bayesian Models for Risk-Based Analysis of Complex Systems under Sparse Data." Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 95(7), 2010: 764-776.

Crowther, K.G., Y.Y. Haimes and M. Eric Johnson, "Principles for Better Information Security through More Accurate, Transparent Risk Scoring," Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management: 7(1), Article 37, 2010:

Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, "Development of the Multiregional Inoperability Input-Output Model (MRIIM) for Spatial Explicitness in Preparedness of Interdependent Regions." Systems Engineering, 13(1): 28-46, 2010.

Chittister, C.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, "Harmonizing ABET Accreditation and the Certification of Systems Engineers." Systems Engineering, 2010. Available online at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sys.20176/full

Chittister, C.G., and Y. Y. Haimes, "Harmonizing high performance computing (HPC) with large-scale complex systems in computational science and engineering." Systems Engineering, 13 (1): 47-57, 2010.

2009 Back to top

Karvetski, C.W., J.H. Lambert, and I. Linkov 2009. Emergent conditions and multicriteria analysis in infrastructure prioritization for developing countries. Journal of Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis. 16(5): 125-137.

Haimes, Y.Y., "On the Complex Definition of Risk: A Systems-Based Approach." Risk Analysis, 29(12): 1647-1654, 2009.

Haimes, Y.Y. and K. Crowther, "Mining Risks." Risk Analysis, 29(10): 1345-1346, 2009.

Haimes, YY. On the Definition of Resilience in Systems. Risk Analysis, 2009; 29(4): 498-501.

Chittister, C.G., and Y. Y. Haimes. Software Engineering for High Performance Computing (HPC) Technology that Serve Large-Scale and Complex (LSC) Systems. Systems Engineering, published online: February 13, 2009, doi: 10.1002/sys.20131

Henry, M.H. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2009. A comprehensive network security risk model for process control networks, Risk Analysis, an International Journal, 29 (2), 223-248.

Barker, K. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2009. Assessing uncertainty in extreme events: Applications to risk-based decision making in interdependent infrastructure sectors. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 94: 819-829.

Jung, J., J.R. Santos, and Y.Y. Haimes, 2009. International Trade Inoperability Input-Output Model (IT-IIM): Theory and Application, Risk Analysis, 29(1): 137-154.

Barry M. Horowitz and Joost Santos, Runway Safety at Airports: A Systematic Approach for Implementing Ultra-Safe Options, Journal of Air Transport Management, Volume 15, Issue 6, Pages 357-362, November, 2009

2008 Back to top

Anderson, C.W., K. Barker, and Y.Y. Haimes, 2008. Assessing and Prioritizing Critical Assets for the United States Army with a Modified RFRM Methodology. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 5(1): Article 5.

Crowther, K.G., 2008. Decentralized risk management for strategic preparedness of critical infrastructure through decomposition of the inoperability input-output model. To appear in International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection.

Lambert, J.H., B.L. Schulte, and N.N. Joshi 2008. Multiple criteria intelligence tracking for detecting extremes from sequences of risk incidents. Journal of Industrial and Management Optimization. 4(3):511-533.

Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2008. Development and deployment of the multiregional inoperability input-output model (MRIIM) for strategic preparedness. To appear in Systems Engineering.

Haggerty, M.S., J.R. Santos, and Y.Y. Haimes, 2008. A Transportation-Based Framework for Deriving Perturbation Inputs to the Inoperability Input-Output Model with Application to Transportation Security. To appear in Journal of Infrastructure Systems.

Haimes, Y.Y., K.G. Crowther, and B.M. Horowitz, 2008. Homeland security preparedness: Balancing protection with resilience in emergent systems. To appear in Systems Engineering.

Henry, M.H. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2008. Robust Multiobjective Dynamic Programming: Minimax Envelopes for Efficient Decisionmaking in Partially Known Systems. To appear in the Journal for Industrial Management and Optimization.

Haimes, Y.Y., K.G. Crowther, and B. M. Horowitz, 2008. Homeland Security Preparedness: Balancing Protection with Resilience in Emergent Systems. Systems Engineering. 11(4): 287-308.

Santos, J.R., K. Barker, and P.J. Zelinke IV, 2008. Sequential Decision-making in Interdependent Sectors with Multiobjective Inoperability Decision Trees: Application to Biofuel Subsidy Analysis. Economic Systems Research, 20(1): 29-56.

Yan, Z. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2008. Hierarchical Coordinated Bayesian Modeling for Risk Analysis. To appear in Reliability Engineering and System Safety.

Amin, S.M., Barry M Horowitz, Toward Agile and Resilient Large-Scale Systems: Adaptive Robust National/International Infrastructures, Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Volume 9, No 1, 2008

2007 Back to top

Haimes, Y. Y., B. M. Horowitz, and Z. Yan, 2008. Integrating Bayes’ Theorem with Dynamic Programming for Optimal Intelligence Collection. Military Operations Research, 12(4): 17-31, 2007

Seager, T.P., J.H. Lambert, and K.H. Gardner 2007. Fostering innovation in contaminated sediments management through multi-criteria technology assessment and public participation. Risk Analysis. 27(4): 1043-1052.

Anderson, C.W., J.R. Santos, and Y.Y. Haimes, 2007. A Risk-Based Input-Output Methodology for Measuring the Effects of the August 2003 Northeast Blackout. Economic Systems Research, 19(2): 183-204.

Haimes, Y.Y., J.R. Santos, 2007. Models for risk management of systems of systems, International Journal: System of Systems, 1(1/2).

Crowther, K.G., Y.Y. Haimes, and G. Taub, 2007. Systemic Valuation of Strategic Preparedness with Illustrations from Hurricane Katrina. Risk Analysis, 27(5): 1345–1364.

Ezell, B.C. and K.G. Crowther, 2007. Philosophical issues and their implications for the systems architect. Foundations of Science. 12(4): 269-276.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2007. Phantom System Models for Emergent Multiscale Systems. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 13(2): 81-87.

Haimes, Y.Y., J.R. Santos, and G.M. Williams, 2007. Assessing and Managing the Inoperability of Virginia's Interdependent Transportation Systems. International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 7(6/7): 968-992.

Joshi, N.N. and J.H. Lambert 2007. Equity Metrics for the Prioritization and Selection of Transportation Projects. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 54(3): 539-547.

Lambert, J.H. and M.W. Farrington, 2007. Cost-Benefit Functions for the Allocation of Security Sensors for Air Contaminants. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 92(7): 930-946.

Lambert, J.H., N.N. Joshi, K.D. Peterson, and S.M. Wadie, 2007. Coordination and Diversification of Investments in Multimodal Transportation. Public Works Management and Policy, 11: 250-265.

Leung, M.F., Y. Y. Haimes, and J.R. Santos, 2007. Supply- and Output-Side Extensions to Inoperability Input-Output Model for Interdependent Infrastructures. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 13(4): 299-310.

Lian, C., J.R. Santos, and Y.Y. Haimes, 2007. Extreme Risk Analysis of Interdependent Economic and Infrastructure Sectors. Risk Analysis, 27(4): 1053-1064.

Santos, J.R., Y. Y. Haimes, and C. Lian, 2007. A Framework for Linking Cyber Security Metrics to the Modeling of Macroeconomic Interdependencies. Risk Analysis, 27(5): 1283-1297.

Johnson, E., S., E. Dynes, E. Andricic and B.M. Horowitz, Economic Costs of Firm-Level Information Infrastructure Failures: Estimates from Field Studies in Manufacturing Supply Chains, International Journal of Logistics Management, Vol. 18, No.3, 2007

Wells, L. and B.M. Horowitz, Methodology for the Ranking of Suicide Bomber Recruitment Preferences using Multiple Sources of Data, Journal of Homeland Security, 4, (2), 2007.

Garcia A. and B.M. Horowitz, The Potential for Underinvestment in Internet Security: Implications for Regulatory Policy Journal of Regulatory Economics, 31, (1), pp. 37-55, 2007

2006 Back to top

Andrijcic, E. and B. Horowitz, 2006. A Macro-Economic Framework for Evaluation of Cyber Security Risks Related to Protection of Intellectual Property. Risk Analysis, 26(4): 907-923.

Chittister, C.G. and Y. Y. Haimes, 2007. Cybersecurity: From Ad Hoc Patching to Lifecycle of Software Engineering. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 3(4): Article 3.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2006. On the Definition of Vulnerabilities in Measuring Risks to Infrastructures. Risk Analysis, 26(2): 293-296.

Horowitz, B.M. and J.H. Lambert, 2006. Assembling Off-the-Shelf Components: Learn as you go Systems Engineering. Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part A, 36(2): 286-297.

Lambert, J.H. 2006. Environmental Security and Environmental Management: The Role of Risk Assessment. Risk Analysis, 26(6): 1730-1732.

Lambert, J.H. and M.W. Farrington, 2006. Risk-Based Objectives for the Allocation of Chemical, Biological, and Radiological Air Emissions Sensors. Risk Analysis, 26(6): 1659-1674.

Lambert, J.H., R.A. Jennings, and N.N. Joshi, 2006. Integration of Risk Identification to Business Process Models. Systems Engineering, 9(3): 187-198.

Lambert, J.H., K.A. Peterson, and N.N. Joshi, 2006. Synthesis of Quantitative and Qualitative Evidence for Risk-Based Analysis of Highway Projects. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 38: 925-935.

Lian, C. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2006. Managing the Risk of Terrorism to Interdependent Infrastructure Systems Through the Dynamic Inoperability Input-Output Model. Systems Engineering, 9(3): 241-258.

Riese, S.R., D.E. Brown, and Y.Y. Haimes, 2006. Estimating the Probability of Landmine
Contamination. Military Operations Research, 11(3): 49-62.

Santos, J.R., 2006. Inoperability Input-Output Modeling of Disruptions to Interdependent Economic Systems. Systems Engineering, 9(1): 20-34.

2005 Back to top

Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2005. Application of the Inoperability Input–Output Model (IIM) for Systemic Risk Assessment and Management of Interdependent Infrastructures. Systems Engineering, 8(4): 323-341.

Dicdican, R.Y. and Y.Y. Haimes. 2005. Relating Multiobjective Decision Trees to the Multiobjective Risk Impact Analysis Method. Systems Engineering, 8(2): 95-108.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2005. Infrastructure Interdependencies and Homeland Security. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 11(2): 65-66.

Haimes, Y.Y. and C.G. Chittister, 2005. A Roadmap for Quantifying the Efficacy of Risk Management of Information Security and Interdependent SCADA Systems. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 2(2): Article 12.

Haimes, Y.Y., B.M. Horowitz, J.H. Lambert, J.R. Santos, K. Crowther, and C. Lian, 2005. Inoperability Input-Output Model for Interdependent Infrastructure Sectors. I: Theory and Methodology. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 11(2): 67-79.

Haimes, Y.Y., B.M. Horowitz, J.H. Lambert, J.R. Santos, K. Crowther, and C. Lian, 2005. Inoperability Input-Output Model for Interdependent Infrastructure Sectors. II: Case Studies. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 11(2): 80-92.

Lambert, J.H. and T. Turley, 2005. Priority Setting for the Distribution of Localized Hazard Protection. Risk Analysis, 25(3): 745-752.

Lambert, J.H. and P. Sarda, 2005. Terrorism Scenario Identification by Superposition of Infrastructure Networks. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 11(4): 211-220.

Lambert, J.H., B.L. Schulte, and P. Sarda, 2005. Tracking the Complexity of Interactions between Risk Incidents and Engineering Systems. Systems Engineering, 8(3): 262-277.

Santos, J.R. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2005. Portfolio Risk Partitioning with Leontief-Type Diversification. Finance Letters, 3(1): 117-123.

2004 Back to top

Chittister, C.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2004. Risks of Terrorism to Information Technology
and to Critical Interdependent Infrastructures. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 1(4): Article 402.

Diehl, M. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2004. Influence Diagrams With Multiple Objectives and Tradeoff Analysis. Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part A, 34(3): 293-304.

Haimes, Y.Y. and B.M. Horowitz, 2004. Modeling Adaptive Two-Player Hierarchical Holographic Modeling Game for Counterterrorism Intelligence Analysis. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 1(3): 1-21.

Haimes, Y.Y. and B.M. Horowitz, 2004. Modeling Interdependent Infrastructures for Sustainable Counterterrorism. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 10(2): 33-41.

Jiang, P. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2004. Risk Management for Leontief-Based Interdependent Systems. Risk Analysis, 24(5): 1215-1229.

Leung, M.F., J.H. Lambert, and A. Mosenthal, 2004. A Risk-Based Approach to Setting Priorities in Protecting Bridges against Terrorist Attacks. Risk Analysis. 24(4): 963-984.

Santos, J.R. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2004. Applying the Partitioned Multiobjective Risk Method (PMRM) to Portfolio Selection. Risk Analysis, 24(3): 697-713.

Santos, J.R. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2004. Modeling the Demand Reduction Input-Output (I-O) Inoperability Due to Terrorism of Interconnected Infrastructures. Risk Analysis, 24(6): 1437-1451.

Srinivasan, B.M. Horowitz, Developing Integrated Knowledge Management Solutions Based on the Unique Social and Knowledge Character of Organizations, International Journal of Knowledge Management Practice, Volume 5, 2004, http://www.tlainc.com/jkmpv5.htm

Srinivasan, B.M. Horowitz, Use of Simulation to Evaluate Knowledge Management Modeling Quality, International Journal of Knowledge Management Practice, Volume 5, 2004, http://www.tlainc.com/jkmpv5.htm

2003 Back to top

Horowitz, B. and Y. Y. Haimes, 2003. Risk-based Methodology for Scenario Tracking, Intelligence Gathering, and Analysis for Countering Terrorism. Systems Engineering, 6(3): 152-169.

Lambert, J.H., J.A. Baker, and K.D. Peterson, 2003. Decision Aid for Allocation of Transportation Funds to Guardrails. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 35(1): 47-57.

Leung, M.F., J.R. Santos, and Y.Y. Haimes, 2003. Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management of Lahar Flow Threat. Risk Analysis, 23(6): 1323-1335.

Pinto, C.A. and J.H. Lambert, 2003. Configuration of Inter-Office Switch for Extreme Traffic with Zone Configuration Evaluator Diagram. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 79(3): 369-375.

Wulf, W.A., Y.Y. Haimes, T.A. Longstaff, 2003. Strategic Responses to Risks of Terrorism. Risk Analysis, 23(3): 429-444.

2002 Back to top

Dombroski, M.J., Y.Y. Haimes, J.H. Lambert, K. Schlussel, and M. Sulcoski, 2002. Risk-Based Methodology for Support of Operations Other than war. Military Operations Research. 7(1): 19-38.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2002. Roadmap for Modeling Risks of Terrorism to the Homeland. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 8(2): 35-41.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2002. Risk of Terrorism to Cyber-Physical and Organizational-Societal Infrastructures. Public Works Management and Policy, 6(4): 231-240.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2002. Strategic Responses to Risks of Terrorism to Water Resources. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 128(6): 383-389.

Haimes, Y.Y., S. Kaplan, and J.H. Lambert, 2002. Risk Filtering, Ranking, and Management Framework. Risk Analysis, 22(2): 383-397.

Haimes, Y.Y. and T. Longstaff, 2002. The Role of Risk Analysis in the Protection of Critical Infrastructures Against Terrorism. Risk Analysis, 22(3): 439-444.

Haimes, Y.Y., T.A. Longstaff, and G.A. Lamm, 2002. Balancing Promise and Risk with Information Assurance. Military Operations Research, 7(3): 31-46.

Lambert, J.H. and C.E. Patterson, 2002. Prioritization of Schedule Dependencies in Hurricane Recovery of a Transportation Agency. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 8(3): 103-111.

Lamm, G.A. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2002. Assessing and Managing Risks to Information Assurance: A Methodological Approach. Systems Engineering, 5(4): 286-314.

Longstaff, T.A. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2002. A Holistic Roadmap for Survivable
Infrastructure Systems. Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part A, 32(2): 260-268.

Longstaff, T.A., Y.Y. Haimes, and C. Sledge, 2002. Are We Forgetting the Risk of COTS Products in Wireless Communications? Risk Analysis, 22(1): 1-6.

Pennock, M.J. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2002. Principles and Guidelines for Project Risk Management. Systems Engineering, 5(2): 89-108.

Pinto, C.A. and J.H. Lambert, 2002. Risk of Extreme Events in the Configuration of Priority Systems. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 76:265-271.

Tsang, J.L., J.H. Lambert, and R.C. Patev, 2002. Extreme Event Scenarios for Planning of Infrastructure Projects. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 8(2): 42-48.

2001 Back to top

Baker, J.A. and J.H. Lambert. 2001. Information System for Risks, Costs, and Benefits of Infrastructure Improvement Projects. Public Works Management and Policy, 5(3): 198-208.

Ezell, B.C., Y.Y. Haimes, J.H. Lambert, 2001. Risks of Cyber Attack to Water Utility
Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition Systems. Military Operations Research, 6(2): 23-33.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2001. Risk Analysis, Systems Analysis, and Covey’s Seven Habits. Risk Analysis, 2(2): 217-224.

Haimes, Y.Y. and P. Jiang, 2001. Leontief-Based Model of Risk in Complex Interconnected
Infrastructures. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 7(1): 1-12.

Kaplan, S., Y.Y. Haimes, B.J. Garrick, 2001. Fitting Hierarchical Holographic Modeling into the
Theory of Scenario Structuring and a Resulting Refinement to the Quantitative Definition of Risk. Risk Analysis, 21(5): 807-819.

Lambert, J.H., Y.Y. Haimes, D. Li, R. Schooff, and V. Tulsiani, 2001. Identification, Ranking and Management of Risks in a Major System Acquisition. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 72(3): 315-325.

2000 Back to top

Frohwein, H.I. and J.H. Lambert, 2000. Risk of Extreme Events in Multiobjective Decision Trees, Part 1. Severe Events. Risk Analysis, 20(1): 113-123.

Frohwein, H.I., Y.Y. Haimes, and J.H. Lambert, 2000. Risk of Extreme Events in  Multiobjective Decision Trees, Part 2. Rare Events. Risk Analysis, 20(1): 125-134.

Haimes, Y.Y., 2000. Water System Complexity and the Misuse of Modeling and Optimization. Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources IX; pp. 1-10.

Johnson, L., Y.Y. Haimes, and J.H. Lambert, 2000. A Methodology for Risk Management of Compound Failure Modes. Research and Practice in Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Y. Haimes and R. Steuer, Eds. New York: Springer Verlag. pp. 15-44.

Longstaff, T.A, C. Chittister, R. Pethia, and Y.Y. Haimes. 2000. Are We Forgetting the Risks of Information Technology? IEEE Computer, 33(12): 43-51.

Olsen, J.R., P.A. Beling, and J.H. Lambert, 2000. Dynamic Models for Floodplain Management. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 126(3): 167-175.

Other Selected Publications Back to top

Asbeck, E. and Y.Y. Haimes, 1984. The Partitioned Multiobjective Risk Method (PMRM). Large Scale Systems: Theory and Applications, 6(1): 13-38.

Bier, V., Y.Y. Haimes, J.H. Lambert, N. Matalas, and R. Zimmerman, 1999. A Survey of Approaches for Assessing and Managing the Risk of Extremes. Risk Analysis, 19(1): 83-94.

Gomide, F. and Y.Y. Haimes, 1984. The Multiobjective, Multistage Impact Analysis Method:
Theoretical Basis. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 14: 89-98.

Haimes, Y.Y. and D. Macko, 1973. Hierarchical Structures in Water Resources Systems
Management. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 3(4): 396-402.

Haimes, Y.Y. and W.A. Hall, 1974. Multiobjectives in Water Resources Systems Analysis: The Surrogate Worth Trade-off Method. Water Resources Research, 10(4): 615-624.

Haimes, Y.Y. and W.A. Hall, 1977. Sensitivity, Responsivity, Stability, and Irreversibility as
Multiple Objectives in Civil Systems. Advances in Water Resources, 1(2): 71-81.

Haimes, Y.Y., 1981. Hierarchical Holographic Modeling. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A, 11(9): 606-617.

Haimes, Y.Y. and D. Li, 1988. Hierarchical Multiobjective Analysis for Large-Scale Systems: Review and Current Status. Automatica, 24(1):53-69.

Haimes, Y.Y., D. Li, and V. Tulsiani, 1990. Multiobjective Decision Tree Method. Risk Analysis, 10(1): 111-129.

Haimes, Y.Y. and D. Li, 1991. A Hierarchical Multiobjective Framework for Risk Management. Automatica, 27(3): 579-584.

Haimes, Y.Y., 1991. Total Risk Management. Risk Analysis, 11(2): 169-171.

Haimes, Y.Y., J.H. Lambert, and D. Li, 1992. Risk of Extreme Events in a Multiobjective Framework. Water Resources Bulletin, 28(1): 201-209.

Haimes, Y. Y., 1993. Risk of Extreme Events and the Fallacy of the Expected Value. Control and Cybernetics, 22(4): 7-31.

Lambert, J.H., N.C. Matalas, C.W. Ling, Y.Y. Haimes, and D. Li, 1994. Selection of Probability Distributions in Characterizing Risk of Extreme Events. Risk Analysis, 14(5): 731-742.
Leach, M. and Y.Y. Haimes, 1987. Multiobjective Risk-Impact Analysis Method. Risk Analysis, 7(2): 225-241.

Li, D. and Y.Y. Haimes, 1988. The Uncertainty Sensitivity Index Method (USIM) and Its Extensions. Naval Research Logistics, 35(6): 655-672.

Li, D. and Y.Y. Haimes, 1987. The Envelope Approach for Multiobjective Optimization Problems. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 17(6): 1026-1038.

Macko, D. and Y.Y. Haimes, 1978. Overlapping Coordination of Hierarchical Structures. IEEE
Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 8(10): 745-751.

Tarvainen, K. and Y.Y. Haimes, 1982. Coordination of Hierarchical-Multiobjective Systems: Theory and Methodology. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 12(6): 751-764.